The Ministry of Planning and Investment held a workshop on February 28 to discuss draft planning for Ho Chi Minh City for the rest of the decade, with a vision to 2050.
Addressing the event, Minister of Planning and Investment Nguyen Chi Dung stated that Ho Chi Minh City is a special urban area, and although covering just 0.6 per cent of the country, it contributes nearly 20 per cent of GDP and 25 per cent of budget revenue.
However, Minister Dung noted that Ho Chi Minh City has been facing many difficulties as the city has yet to unlock its potential strengths. The GDP contribution rate is likely to have been just 16.5 per cent in 2023. Growth models and economic structures are slow to change, while growth quality and labour productivity are lower than the national averages.
“Other provinces and cities are moving forward, while Ho Chi Minh City is slowing down. In the near future, the advantage of being an international gateway will certainly decline," Minister Dung said, adding that it is vital to find a suitable direction for the city.
According to architect Tran Trong Hanh, head of the Ho Chi Minh City Planning Project, the city, with a population of nearly 10 million people, will undoubtedly become the first Vietnamese megacity. However, there is very little land left for exploitation.
“The current model of a unipolar megacity like Ho Chi Minh City is no longer appropriate. The city must develop under a multipolar, green, and smart model to ensure a sustainable environment. A new development model will also prevent mass migration and improve people's quality of life,” Hanh said.
Nguyen Dinh Cung, former director of the Central Institute for Economic Management, said that Ho Chi Minh City can set a target for higher growth. However, the bottleneck is the lack of institutional breakthroughs. It is feasible for the city to set a growth rate target of 10 per cent or even higher. To achieve this goal, the city needs to think outside the box, adopt a radical decision-making mechanism, and take drastic solutions.
He further pointed out that the city registered an average growth rate of 6.6 per cent in 2021–2025, 5.36 per cent in 2021, 9 per cent in 2022, and 5.81 per cent in 2023. Thus, the average growth rate for 2024–2025 must reach 11.8 per cent to double that of 2023. However, it will be difficult to achieve this target in the challenging economic environment.
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