Hanoi office market to likely to lack supply

The office market in Hanoi is expected to face a shortage of supply, creating competition between offices for lease and co-working spaces in the future.

According to Savills Research, Hanoi and HCM City witnessed a downward trend of yields from the second half 2015 to the second half 2018.

“This again was caused by the limited supply of available office developments for sale, which has resulted in more aggressive bidding prices from buyers, driving yields further downward. The office sector is currently a seller’s market in Viet Nam; in other words, if you are an office development owner, now is a good time to sell,” said Hoang Nguyet Minh, Investment Manager at Savills Hanoi.

In the Grade A segment, no new supplies had been seen in Hanoi for three years, and the Grade B segment had only two new projects put into operation from the beginning of 2018. The demand for office space, including new offices for lease and expansion of office space, was still high, leading to a temporary shortage of supply and an increase in occupancy rates and rental prices, reported Dau tu (Investment) newspaper.

According to Savills Vietnam, Hanoi was expecting to receive a new supply with a total area of 500,000 sq.m by 2020, including five Grade A office projects in 2019.

Thai Square on Tran Quang Khai, Hanoi is expected to supply 25,000 sq.m alone when it opens in the first quarter of 2019.

By the end of this year, an additional 153,000 m2 of office space would be opened. This supply was expected to increase sharply in 2020-21 and concentrate on the Grade A segment, according a representative from Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated.

Besides that, offices for lease will have to compete with co-working space.

Vu Thi Phuong, director of Replus Joint Stock Company, forecast that 2019 would witness spectacular growth in the country’s office for lease segment. Grade A office space, virtual offices and co-working spaces were expected to see strong development.

Dang Van Quang, director of JLL Vietnam, also predicted that in 2019 co-working space projects would increase and bring good profits to the real estate industry.

According to CBRE, finance/banking/insurance and tech firms were also seeking new office space.

This year, positive rental growth is expected in both the Grade A and B segments, especially in Grade A on the back of new supplies in central business districts (CBD).

Performance

According to the latest Savills report, Hanoi offered the highest office yield in the world at 8.57 per cent.

For the third time since January 2017, Hanoi ranked first globally for its CBD Grade A office yield. Previous runner-up HCM City dropped to fourth with market yield of 7.36 per cent.

Addressing the investment prospects for Viet Nam’s cities, Minh from Savills said: “High yields indicate attractive rental incomes against capital value of office buildings and the fact that Hanoi and HCM City are among the markets that offer the highest yields globally shows healthy rents and occupancy prospects for our cities.”

“HCM City enjoyed its best performance in the last five years, with average rents increasing 8 per cent year-on-year (YoY) and a very high occupancy rate of 97 per cent, while Hanoi recorded a 3 per cent YoY increase in average gross rent in the fourth quarter of 2018 and a steady occupancy rate of 95 per cent with improved Grade A performance in non-CBD areas.”

“Understandably, these markets have been drawing significant interest from international investors; Singaporean, Japanese and Korean in particular. Buyers’ demand remains high, yet there were very few investment transactions in 2018 due to the shortage of available properties for sale.”

Hanoi has more than 1.9 million sq.m of offices for lease, including 529,000 sq.m of Grade A offices, more than 1.34 million sq.m of Grade B and about 253,000 sq.m of Grade C.

Rental rates are also quite good. The average rental price is about US$30 per sq.m a month for a Grade A office, $18.2 per for Grade B and $14.2 for Grade C, a slight increase compared to before.