Asia markets extend global rally on Trump hopes

November 11, 2016 | 10:23
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HONG KONG: Asian equities rallied Thursday (Nov 10), joining a goldrush across world markets as the initial shock of Donald Trump's election win was replaced by hopes his plan to kickstart the US economy will succeed.
Japanese employees of a foreign exchange trading company work at their terminals in Tokyo on November 9, 2016, as US President-elect Donald Trump is seen on a television screen delivering his victory speech AFP/Behrouz Mehri

Trading screens were awash with red Wednesday as the region's investors were the first to react to news that the firebrand tycoon had defeated market favourite Hillary Clinton, upending expectations.

However, a reassuring victory speech - followed by calls from Clinton and President Barack Obama to get behind Trump - provided some encouragement to traders, sending risk assets rallying.

Most markets in Asia either entirely reversed or clawed back most of the previous day's losses, while the dollar pushed higher.

The greenback had come under pressure on worries that uncertainty over Trump's policies would cause the Federal Reserve to hold off an interest rate rise, but analysts said those worries had abated for now.

Tokyo closed up 6.7 per cent, with a plunging yen providing support. The dollar dallied with 106 yen before easing slightly, well up from Wednesday's low of 101.20 yen. Hong Kong gained 1.9 per cent and Shanghai closed 1.4 per cent up. Sydney closed 3.3 per cent higher, Seoul jumped 2 per cent and Taipei put on 2.4 per cent.

There were also gains of more than 1 per cent in Wellington, Singapore and Manila.

The pharma and financial sectors were among the biggest winners regionally on hopes Trump will move to loosen US regulations affecting their industries.

In early European trade London and Paris each rose 0.7 per cent, while Frankfurt was 0.6 per cent higher.

"FRIENDLY"

CMC Markets strategist Michael McCarthy said it appeared a consensus was building that much of Trump's extreme rhetoric during the campaign "was a sales pitch rather than a commitment to act".

"Investors ignored the potential for damage to international trade and growth prospects and focused on Republican control of both houses of Congress as well as the White House," he said. "This offers the prospect of reform that could stimulate the US economy."

Grant Williamson, an investment adviser at brokerage Hamilton Hindin Greene in New Zealand told Bloomberg News: "He'll certainly be friendly to American business and that could very well stimulate their economy."

The push back into higher-yielding, or riskier, investments also saw safe-haven gold tumble 1.4 per cent to US$1,285.96 - having spiked Wednesday at almost US$1,340.

The Mexican peso, which hit a record low 20.80 against the dollar on Trump's win, also strengthened Thursday but it remains under pressure owing to fears about Trump's policy plans.

While on the campaign trail the president-elect often made anti-Mexican promises including a pledge to remove undocumented immigrants, build a border wall and tear up a long-standing trade deal.

Despite the rally Thursday, Daisuke Karakama, market economist at Mizuho Bank, sounded a note of caution. He said that while there is talk Trump's plans for large fiscal spending and tax cuts could boost the economy and dollar, that was only the positive scenario.

"There are no resources to finance his tax cuts and there was no guarantee that he could get along with Congress given the divide between him and mainstream Republicans," he told AFP.

KEY FIGURES AROUND 0800 GMT

Tokyo - Nikkei 225: UP 6.7 per cent at 17,344.42 (close)

Hong Kong - Hang Seng: UP 1.9 per cent at 22,839.11 (close)

Shanghai - Composite: UP 1.4 per cent at 3,171.28 (close)

London - FTSE 100: UP 0.7 per cent at 6,958.79

Dollar/Mexican peso: UP at 19.77 pesos from 19.82 pesos

Pound/dollar: DOWN at US$1.2421 from US$1.2424 Tuesday

Euro/dollar: UP at US$1.0932 from US$1.0914

Dollar/yen: DOWN at 105.53 yen from 105.72 yen

Oil - West Texas Intermediate: DOWN 20 cents at US$45.47 per barrel

Oil - Brent North Sea: UP 37 cents at US$46.73

New York - Dow: UP 1.4 per cent at 18,589.84 (close)

AFP

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